Discord's confidential SEC filing in January 2026 and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan initially fueled expectations for a March debut, yet the absence of a public S-1 filing and missed timeline have shifted trader consensus sharply toward no IPO by June 30. With roughly six weeks remaining, regulatory hurdles such as age-verification requirements and broader tech-market volatility have tempered momentum, supporting the 76.5% market-implied probability for delay. The company's last private valuation of approximately $15 billion and reported $725 million in annual recurring revenue frame modest closing-market-cap expectations below that level, while stronger outcomes in the 25–30 billion range reflect only limited optimism for a premium listing if conditions improve rapidly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMarket cap di chiusura IPO Discord
Market cap di chiusura IPO Discord
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 77%
<15 mld 7.6%
25–30 miliardi 5.1%
15–20 miliardi 4.2%
$890,076 Vol.
$890,076 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<15 mld
8%
15–20 miliardi
4%
20–25 miliardi
<1%
25–30 miliardi
5%
30 miliardi+
1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
77%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026 77%
<15 mld 7.6%
25–30 miliardi 5.1%
15–20 miliardi 4.2%
$890,076 Vol.
$890,076 Vol.
30 giu 2026
<15 mld
$298,476 Vol.
8%
15–20 miliardi
$109,441 Vol.
4%
20–25 miliardi
$74,413 Vol.
<1%
25–30 miliardi
$113,029 Vol.
5%
30 miliardi+
$100,327 Vol.
1%
Nessuna IPO entro il 30 giugno 2026
$194,390 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Discord's confidential SEC filing in January 2026 and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan initially fueled expectations for a March debut, yet the absence of a public S-1 filing and missed timeline have shifted trader consensus sharply toward no IPO by June 30. With roughly six weeks remaining, regulatory hurdles such as age-verification requirements and broader tech-market volatility have tempered momentum, supporting the 76.5% market-implied probability for delay. The company's last private valuation of approximately $15 billion and reported $725 million in annual recurring revenue frame modest closing-market-cap expectations below that level, while stronger outcomes in the 25–30 billion range reflect only limited optimism for a premium listing if conditions improve rapidly.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Volume
$890,076Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Discord's confidential SEC filing in January 2026 and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan initially fueled expectations for a March debut, yet the absence of a public S-1 filing and missed timeline have shifted trader consensus sharply toward no IPO by June 30. With roughly six weeks remaining, regulatory hurdles such as age-verification requirements and broader tech-market volatility have tempered momentum, supporting the 76.5% market-implied probability for delay. The company's last private valuation of approximately $15 billion and reported $725 million in annual recurring revenue frame modest closing-market-cap expectations below that level, while stronger outcomes in the 25–30 billion range reflect only limited optimism for a premium listing if conditions improve rapidly.
This market will resolve based on Discord's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Discord’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$890,076Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Discord's confidential SEC filing in January 2026 and engagement of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan initially fueled expectations for a March debut, yet the absence of a public S-1 filing and missed timeline have shifted trader consensus sharply toward no IPO by June 30. With roughly six weeks remaining, regulatory hurdles such as age-verification requirements and broader tech-market volatility have tempered momentum, supporting the 76.5% market-implied probability for delay. The company's last private valuation of approximately $15 billion and reported $725 million in annual recurring revenue frame modest closing-market-cap expectations below that level, while stronger outcomes in the 25–30 billion range reflect only limited optimism for a premium listing if conditions improve rapidly.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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