Official meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as those from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara experiencing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime maximum near 27°C on August 16, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where average August highs reach about 29°C. Real-time surface observations and satellite data reinforce this temperature range without indications of anomalous warming from regional pressure systems or urban heat effects. At 100% market-implied probability, traders reflect near-certainty in verified station readings from central Ankara. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted subsidence could still produce a higher peak, though current model agreement and timing late in the day make such revisions improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta ad Ankara il 16 agosto?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$34,891 Vol.
$34,891 Vol.
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$34,891 Vol.
$34,891 Vol.
16 ago 2026
22°C or below
$2,388 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,415 Vol.
No
24°C
$402 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,687 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,630 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,161 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$6,174 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,634 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,075 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,057 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$268 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as those from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara experiencing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime maximum near 27°C on August 16, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where average August highs reach about 29°C. Real-time surface observations and satellite data reinforce this temperature range without indications of anomalous warming from regional pressure systems or urban heat effects. At 100% market-implied probability, traders reflect near-certainty in verified station readings from central Ankara. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted subsidence could still produce a higher peak, though current model agreement and timing late in the day make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$34,891Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as those from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara experiencing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime maximum near 27°C on August 16, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where average August highs reach about 29°C. Real-time surface observations and satellite data reinforce this temperature range without indications of anomalous warming from regional pressure systems or urban heat effects. At 100% market-implied probability, traders reflect near-certainty in verified station readings from central Ankara. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted subsidence could still produce a higher peak, though current model agreement and timing late in the day make such revisions improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,891Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Yes
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Yes
Official meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as those from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara experiencing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and a daytime maximum near 27°C on August 16, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Anatolian plateau where average August highs reach about 29°C. Real-time surface observations and satellite data reinforce this temperature range without indications of anomalous warming from regional pressure systems or urban heat effects. At 100% market-implied probability, traders reflect near-certainty in verified station readings from central Ankara. A rapid shift in steering patterns or unforecasted subsidence could still produce a higher peak, though current model agreement and timing late in the day make such revisions improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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