Trader consensus centers on the 102-103°F bin at 60.5% implied probability because National Weather Service and private model runs forecast a sunny, hot day with a maximum near 103–104°F under south-southwest flow and a heat advisory. Clear skies and strong August insolation support peak surface heating in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, while limited moisture and subsidence from a ridge limit cloud cover or convective cooling. Historical climatology shows mid-August highs commonly reach 100–105°F, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 100–105°F outcomes. Any late-day model adjustments from the NWS or observed deviations in dew points or wind could shift resolution within the final hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Dallas il 16 agosto?
102-103°F 61%
100-101°F 19%
104-105°F 15%
106-107°F 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
19%
102-103°F
61%
104-105°F
15%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 61%
100-101°F 19%
104-105°F 15%
106-107°F 2%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
95°F or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$159 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$89 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$863 Vol.
19%
102-103°F
$1,200 Vol.
61%
104-105°F
$1,054 Vol.
15%
106-107°F
$1,215 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$109 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$107 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$262 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on the 102-103°F bin at 60.5% implied probability because National Weather Service and private model runs forecast a sunny, hot day with a maximum near 103–104°F under south-southwest flow and a heat advisory. Clear skies and strong August insolation support peak surface heating in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, while limited moisture and subsidence from a ridge limit cloud cover or convective cooling. Historical climatology shows mid-August highs commonly reach 100–105°F, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 100–105°F outcomes. Any late-day model adjustments from the NWS or observed deviations in dew points or wind could shift resolution within the final hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$5,527Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on the 102-103°F bin at 60.5% implied probability because National Weather Service and private model runs forecast a sunny, hot day with a maximum near 103–104°F under south-southwest flow and a heat advisory. Clear skies and strong August insolation support peak surface heating in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, while limited moisture and subsidence from a ridge limit cloud cover or convective cooling. Historical climatology shows mid-August highs commonly reach 100–105°F, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 100–105°F outcomes. Any late-day model adjustments from the NWS or observed deviations in dew points or wind could shift resolution within the final hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,527Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on the 102-103°F bin at 60.5% implied probability because National Weather Service and private model runs forecast a sunny, hot day with a maximum near 103–104°F under south-southwest flow and a heat advisory. Clear skies and strong August insolation support peak surface heating in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, while limited moisture and subsidence from a ridge limit cloud cover or convective cooling. Historical climatology shows mid-August highs commonly reach 100–105°F, aligning with the market’s concentration in the 100–105°F outcomes. Any late-day model adjustments from the NWS or observed deviations in dew points or wind could shift resolution within the final hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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