Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 15, 2026, centers on a sunny, hot pattern with a forecast high near 102°F under southerly flow and heat indices around 107°F. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in North Texas, where August averages hover near 100°F but can spike with persistent high pressure. The market’s concentration on 100–103°F buckets reflects this consensus while incorporating model spread and minor timing uncertainties in peak heating. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a slightly lower reading from earlier cloud cover or boundary influences against the baseline expectation, keeping probabilities balanced around the 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes ahead of the day’s official observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Dallas il 15 agosto?
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
30%
100-101°F
45%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 45%
98-99°F 30%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
93°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$124 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$217 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$222 Vol.
30%
100-101°F
$3,128 Vol.
45%
102-103°F
$193 Vol.
14%
104-105°F
$193 Vol.
7%
106-107°F
$20 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$30 Vol.
4%
110-111°F
$10 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 15, 2026, centers on a sunny, hot pattern with a forecast high near 102°F under southerly flow and heat indices around 107°F. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in North Texas, where August averages hover near 100°F but can spike with persistent high pressure. The market’s concentration on 100–103°F buckets reflects this consensus while incorporating model spread and minor timing uncertainties in peak heating. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a slightly lower reading from earlier cloud cover or boundary influences against the baseline expectation, keeping probabilities balanced around the 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes ahead of the day’s official observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,247Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 15, 2026, centers on a sunny, hot pattern with a forecast high near 102°F under southerly flow and heat indices around 107°F. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in North Texas, where August averages hover near 100°F but can spike with persistent high pressure. The market’s concentration on 100–103°F buckets reflects this consensus while incorporating model spread and minor timing uncertainties in peak heating. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a slightly lower reading from earlier cloud cover or boundary influences against the baseline expectation, keeping probabilities balanced around the 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes ahead of the day’s official observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,247Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on August 15, 2026, centers on a sunny, hot pattern with a forecast high near 102°F under southerly flow and heat indices around 107°F. This aligns with typical late-summer conditions in North Texas, where August averages hover near 100°F but can spike with persistent high pressure. The market’s concentration on 100–103°F buckets reflects this consensus while incorporating model spread and minor timing uncertainties in peak heating. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a slightly lower reading from earlier cloud cover or boundary influences against the baseline expectation, keeping probabilities balanced around the 100–101°F and 102–103°F outcomes ahead of the day’s official observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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