A deep marine layer exceeding 4,000 feet, reinforced by coastal stratus and patchy drizzle, has suppressed San Francisco temperatures well below mid-August averages in recent days, with highs limited to the lower 60s on August 14. This pattern, driven by strong onshore flow and cool Pacific upwelling typical of the region's summer climatology, favors afternoon maxima near 68–71°F at official stations like KSFO. National Weather Service guidance and extended forecasts project gradual clearing but persistent marine influence through August 15, aligning trader consensus around these bins while limiting upside potential above 72°F. Historical August averages near 67–70°F further anchor expectations absent a rapid marine-layer burn-off.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 15 agosto?
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 7%
$10,417 Vol.
$10,417 Vol.
59°F o inferiore
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
68-69°F 41%
70-71°F 28%
66-67°F 20%
72-73°F 7%
$10,417 Vol.
$10,417 Vol.
59°F o inferiore
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...A deep marine layer exceeding 4,000 feet, reinforced by coastal stratus and patchy drizzle, has suppressed San Francisco temperatures well below mid-August averages in recent days, with highs limited to the lower 60s on August 14. This pattern, driven by strong onshore flow and cool Pacific upwelling typical of the region's summer climatology, favors afternoon maxima near 68–71°F at official stations like KSFO. National Weather Service guidance and extended forecasts project gradual clearing but persistent marine influence through August 15, aligning trader consensus around these bins while limiting upside potential above 72°F. Historical August averages near 67–70°F further anchor expectations absent a rapid marine-layer burn-off.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti