Numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum on August 15 near 26°C, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for that bin amid typical rainy-season patterns at 2,240 meters elevation. The city's high altitude and frequent afternoon convective clouds from the North American monsoon limit peak heating, keeping climatological August highs near 24°C with low variability. Recent model runs indicate modest warming potential from reduced early-day cloud cover or lighter precipitation timing, supporting the combined 72.5% probability on 25–27°C outcomes while underscoring uncertainty from evolving forecast guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 15 agosto?
26°C 64%
25°C 20%
27°C 18%
28°C 4%
$9,872 Vol.
$9,872 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
20%
26°C
57%
27°C
18%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 64%
25°C 20%
27°C 18%
28°C 4%
$9,872 Vol.
$9,872 Vol.
15 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$508 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$290 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$822 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,764 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$752 Vol.
20%
26°C
$1,274 Vol.
57%
27°C
$2,818 Vol.
18%
28°C
$586 Vol.
4%
29°C
$354 Vol.
1%
30°C o superiore
$485 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum on August 15 near 26°C, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for that bin amid typical rainy-season patterns at 2,240 meters elevation. The city's high altitude and frequent afternoon convective clouds from the North American monsoon limit peak heating, keeping climatological August highs near 24°C with low variability. Recent model runs indicate modest warming potential from reduced early-day cloud cover or lighter precipitation timing, supporting the combined 72.5% probability on 25–27°C outcomes while underscoring uncertainty from evolving forecast guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$9,872Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum on August 15 near 26°C, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for that bin amid typical rainy-season patterns at 2,240 meters elevation. The city's high altitude and frequent afternoon convective clouds from the North American monsoon limit peak heating, keeping climatological August highs near 24°C with low variability. Recent model runs indicate modest warming potential from reduced early-day cloud cover or lighter precipitation timing, supporting the combined 72.5% probability on 25–27°C outcomes while underscoring uncertainty from evolving forecast guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,872Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather model consensus positions Mexico City's daily maximum on August 15 near 26°C, aligning with the market's 55% implied probability for that bin amid typical rainy-season patterns at 2,240 meters elevation. The city's high altitude and frequent afternoon convective clouds from the North American monsoon limit peak heating, keeping climatological August highs near 24°C with low variability. Recent model runs indicate modest warming potential from reduced early-day cloud cover or lighter precipitation timing, supporting the combined 72.5% probability on 25–27°C outcomes while underscoring uncertainty from evolving forecast guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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