Strong seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology, projecting 1–1.6 °C above-normal temperatures across the Makkah region through August 2026, combined with long-range model consensus for 43–45 °C peaks, underpin the dominant market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher. Persistent high pressure, intense solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and only light Red Sea breezes favor rapid daytime heating in this arid coastal setting, where historical August maxima typically reach 37–39 °C. Recent heat alerts and short-range guidance showing limited cooling potential before the 13th further reinforce trader expectations, though minor shifts in moisture or steering winds could still moderate the outcome within the forecast uncertainty range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Gedda il 13 agosto?
41°C o superiore 76%
40°C 16%
39°C 7%
38°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
31°C o inferiore
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
4%
39°C
7%
40°C
16%
41°C o superiore
76%
41°C o superiore 76%
40°C 16%
39°C 7%
38°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
31°C o inferiore
$562 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$562 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$552 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$700 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,927 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,306 Vol.
1%
38°C
$348 Vol.
4%
39°C
$665 Vol.
7%
40°C
$981 Vol.
16%
41°C o superiore
$1,712 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology, projecting 1–1.6 °C above-normal temperatures across the Makkah region through August 2026, combined with long-range model consensus for 43–45 °C peaks, underpin the dominant market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher. Persistent high pressure, intense solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and only light Red Sea breezes favor rapid daytime heating in this arid coastal setting, where historical August maxima typically reach 37–39 °C. Recent heat alerts and short-range guidance showing limited cooling potential before the 13th further reinforce trader expectations, though minor shifts in moisture or steering winds could still moderate the outcome within the forecast uncertainty range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$9,855Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology, projecting 1–1.6 °C above-normal temperatures across the Makkah region through August 2026, combined with long-range model consensus for 43–45 °C peaks, underpin the dominant market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher. Persistent high pressure, intense solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and only light Red Sea breezes favor rapid daytime heating in this arid coastal setting, where historical August maxima typically reach 37–39 °C. Recent heat alerts and short-range guidance showing limited cooling potential before the 13th further reinforce trader expectations, though minor shifts in moisture or steering winds could still moderate the outcome within the forecast uncertainty range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,855Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong seasonal outlooks from Saudi Arabia’s National Center for Meteorology, projecting 1–1.6 °C above-normal temperatures across the Makkah region through August 2026, combined with long-range model consensus for 43–45 °C peaks, underpin the dominant market-implied probability for 41 °C or higher. Persistent high pressure, intense solar insolation, minimal cloud cover, and only light Red Sea breezes favor rapid daytime heating in this arid coastal setting, where historical August maxima typically reach 37–39 °C. Recent heat alerts and short-range guidance showing limited cooling potential before the 13th further reinforce trader expectations, though minor shifts in moisture or steering winds could still moderate the outcome within the forecast uncertainty range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti