**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daytime high of 30–33°C in Jinan on September 15, well above the 26°C threshold, as a warm, dry air mass under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and southwest flow promotes strong daytime heating.** Recent observations show similar conditions on September 14 with highs near 30–32°C and minimal cloud cover, continuing a pattern of above-average early-September warmth relative to Jinan’s typical 27–29°C September maximum. Numerical weather prediction models exhibit tight agreement on peak temperatures, with limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields that could otherwise suppress the daily maximum. The primary uncertainty remains a possible late-day increase in cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected shift in the steering flow, though current guidance indicates these changes are unlikely before the afternoon heating maximum. Traders’ overwhelming preference for 26°C or higher reflects this high-confidence short-range forecast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 15 settembre?
26°C o superiore 97%
25°C 8%
16°C o inferiore 4%
17°C 4%
16°C o inferiore
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C o superiore
97%
26°C o superiore 97%
25°C 8%
16°C o inferiore 4%
17°C 4%
16°C o inferiore
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C o superiore
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Strong forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daytime high of 30–33°C in Jinan on September 15, well above the 26°C threshold, as a warm, dry air mass under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and southwest flow promotes strong daytime heating.** Recent observations show similar conditions on September 14 with highs near 30–32°C and minimal cloud cover, continuing a pattern of above-average early-September warmth relative to Jinan’s typical 27–29°C September maximum. Numerical weather prediction models exhibit tight agreement on peak temperatures, with limited spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields that could otherwise suppress the daily maximum. The primary uncertainty remains a possible late-day increase in cloud cover or an earlier-than-expected shift in the steering flow, though current guidance indicates these changes are unlikely before the afternoon heating maximum. Traders’ overwhelming preference for 26°C or higher reflects this high-confidence short-range forecast.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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