Current forecast models project a high near 29°C for Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with early-September climatology and recent stable high-pressure patterns. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional guidance, show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture that would suppress maximum temperatures below the 26°C threshold. This supports the 91% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, though ensemble runs indicate low likelihood through the 48-hour window before resolution at the Yaoqiang International Airport station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 2 settembre?
26°C or higher 91%
25°C 10%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
91%
26°C or higher 91%
25°C 10%
16°C or below 4%
17°C 4%
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models project a high near 29°C for Jinan on September 2 under clear to mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds, consistent with early-September climatology and recent stable high-pressure patterns. Multiple sources, including AccuWeather and regional guidance, show minimal day-to-day variability and no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture that would suppress maximum temperatures below the 26°C threshold. This supports the 91% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or persistent cloud cover, though ensemble runs indicate low likelihood through the 48-hour window before resolution at the Yaoqiang International Airport station.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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