**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 12 agosto?
35°C 100.0%
28°C o inferiore <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$41,782 Vol.
$41,782 Vol.
12 ago 2026
28°C o inferiore
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Sì
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C o superiore
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C o inferiore <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$41,782 Vol.
$41,782 Vol.
12 ago 2026
28°C o inferiore
$451 Vol.
No
29°C
$331 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,245 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,912 Vol.
No
32°C
$11,595 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,113 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,859 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,414 Vol.
Sì
36°C
$6,245 Vol.
No
37°C
$7,175 Vol.
No
38°C o superiore
$4,442 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$41,782Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41,782Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
**Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and major models converge on a maximum of 35°C in Lucknow today under partly cloudy to generally cloudy skies with scattered thundershowers.** Monsoon conditions, including high humidity and limited diurnal heating from cloud cover, support this outcome, aligning with August climatology where daytime highs typically range 31–35°C. Recent observations show maxima near 33–35°C, and the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability on 35°C reflects trader consensus on these stable atmospheric patterns. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by IMD; brief clear intervals or heavier localized rainfall could still shift the outcome by 1–2°C, though updated model runs indicate low likelihood of such deviations before the day ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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