**Trader consensus at 31°C with near-certainty reflects the established monsoon regime over Lucknow.** On August 5, 2026, the India Meteorological Department recorded a maximum of 32.9°C amid widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon’s active phase. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping afternoon peaks near the seasonal normal of 32–33°C. Historical August averages and current observational data from surface stations align closely with this range, giving traders high confidence in the 31°C threshold. A sudden monsoon break or localized clear-sky episode could allow brief warming above 34°C, but no such shift appears imminent in the latest model guidance or real-time satellite imagery.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 5 agosto?
31°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$24,015 Vol.
$24,015 Vol.
24°C o inferiore
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sì
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C o superiore
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C o inferiore <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$24,015 Vol.
$24,015 Vol.
24°C o inferiore
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Sì
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus at 31°C with near-certainty reflects the established monsoon regime over Lucknow.** On August 5, 2026, the India Meteorological Department recorded a maximum of 32.9°C amid widespread cloud cover, light to moderate rainfall, and high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon’s active phase. These conditions suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, keeping afternoon peaks near the seasonal normal of 32–33°C. Historical August averages and current observational data from surface stations align closely with this range, giving traders high confidence in the 31°C threshold. A sudden monsoon break or localized clear-sky episode could allow brief warming above 34°C, but no such shift appears imminent in the latest model guidance or real-time satellite imagery.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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