Recent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and thundershower activity across Uttar Pradesh are the main factor capping Lucknow's expected maximum temperature near 30–32°C on September 8. Official IMD guidance and numerical models indicate overcast skies and scattered rain will limit solar heating, consistent with observed highs of 32–33°C on September 6 amid similar patterns. The narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in convective timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C depending on whether clearing occurs before or after midday. Historical September baselines near 32°C provide context, yet ongoing moisture and suppressed insolation favor the lower end of that range. Updated IMD briefings and morning model runs will offer the next resolution-relevant data points.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow l'8 settembre?
32°C 41%
31°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 10%
25°C o inferiore
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
37%
32°C
41%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
1%
32°C 41%
31°C 37%
30°C 13%
33°C 10%
25°C o inferiore
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
37%
32°C
41%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon conditions with widespread cloud cover and thundershower activity across Uttar Pradesh are the main factor capping Lucknow's expected maximum temperature near 30–32°C on September 8. Official IMD guidance and numerical models indicate overcast skies and scattered rain will limit solar heating, consistent with observed highs of 32–33°C on September 6 amid similar patterns. The narrow spread between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects uncertainty in convective timing and rainfall intensity, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C depending on whether clearing occurs before or after midday. Historical September baselines near 32°C provide context, yet ongoing moisture and suppressed insolation favor the lower end of that range. Updated IMD briefings and morning model runs will offer the next resolution-relevant data points.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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