Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 8, 2026, points to a daily minimum in the low to mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm air mass, light onshore flow, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with dew points near 62°F. This keeps overnight temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64°F for the date, consistent with recent days’ minima around 64–67°F and absent any strong marine layer or frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 72–75°F bins because forecast runs show limited downside risk below 70°F, while upside above 76°F remains unlikely given typical September steering patterns and wind speeds. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles l'8 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Los Angeles l'8 settembre?
74-75°F 51%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 11%
66-67°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
51%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
74-75°F 51%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 11%
66-67°F 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 set 2026
61°F o inferiore
$141 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$65 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$131 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$76 Vol.
3%
68-69°F
$63 Vol.
23%
70-71°F
$84 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$261 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$128 Vol.
51%
76-77°F
$120 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$39 Vol.
<1%
80°F o superiore
$99 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 8, 2026, points to a daily minimum in the low to mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm air mass, light onshore flow, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with dew points near 62°F. This keeps overnight temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64°F for the date, consistent with recent days’ minima around 64–67°F and absent any strong marine layer or frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 72–75°F bins because forecast runs show limited downside risk below 70°F, while upside above 76°F remains unlikely given typical September steering patterns and wind speeds. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,206Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 8, 2026, points to a daily minimum in the low to mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm air mass, light onshore flow, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with dew points near 62°F. This keeps overnight temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64°F for the date, consistent with recent days’ minima around 64–67°F and absent any strong marine layer or frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 72–75°F bins because forecast runs show limited downside risk below 70°F, while upside above 76°F remains unlikely given typical September steering patterns and wind speeds. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,206Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 8, 2026, points to a daily minimum in the low to mid-70s, driven by a persistent warm air mass, light onshore flow, and reduced radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with dew points near 62°F. This keeps overnight temperatures well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64°F for the date, consistent with recent days’ minima around 64–67°F and absent any strong marine layer or frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 72–75°F bins because forecast runs show limited downside risk below 70°F, while upside above 76°F remains unlikely given typical September steering patterns and wind speeds. Updated model runs and official observations tonight will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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