Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from Mexican meteorological agencies positioned 14°C as the leading outcome for Mexico City’s September 8 minimum, with traders assigning it 54.5% implied probability amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Historical September baselines average 12–15°C, and current runs showed minimal deviation from climatology, though slight model spread around urban heat-island effects kept 15°C and 12°C close behind at 44.1% and 39.5%. Official station measurements, typically taken at standardized sites, will resolve the market, with any late revisions in post-event verification the main remaining uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico l'8 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Messico l'8 settembre?
12°C 40%
13°C 9%
11°C 1.0%
9°C 1.0%
$1,648 Vol.
$1,648 Vol.
8 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
40%
13°C
9%
14°C
54%
15°C
45%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
12°C 40%
13°C 9%
11°C 1.0%
9°C 1.0%
$1,648 Vol.
$1,648 Vol.
8 set 2026
8°C o inferiore
$103 Vol.
1%
9°C
$157 Vol.
1%
10°C
$250 Vol.
1%
11°C
$30 Vol.
1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$61 Vol.
9%
14°C
$40 Vol.
54%
15°C
$286 Vol.
45%
16°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$287 Vol.
<1%
18°C o superiore
$300 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from Mexican meteorological agencies positioned 14°C as the leading outcome for Mexico City’s September 8 minimum, with traders assigning it 54.5% implied probability amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Historical September baselines average 12–15°C, and current runs showed minimal deviation from climatology, though slight model spread around urban heat-island effects kept 15°C and 12°C close behind at 44.1% and 39.5%. Official station measurements, typically taken at standardized sites, will resolve the market, with any late revisions in post-event verification the main remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,648Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from Mexican meteorological agencies positioned 14°C as the leading outcome for Mexico City’s September 8 minimum, with traders assigning it 54.5% implied probability amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Historical September baselines average 12–15°C, and current runs showed minimal deviation from climatology, though slight model spread around urban heat-island effects kept 15°C and 12°C close behind at 44.1% and 39.5%. Official station measurements, typically taken at standardized sites, will resolve the market, with any late revisions in post-event verification the main remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,648Data di fine
8 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from Mexican meteorological agencies positioned 14°C as the leading outcome for Mexico City’s September 8 minimum, with traders assigning it 54.5% implied probability amid stable high-pressure conditions and light winds that limited nocturnal cooling at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Historical September baselines average 12–15°C, and current runs showed minimal deviation from climatology, though slight model spread around urban heat-island effects kept 15°C and 12°C close behind at 44.1% and 39.5%. Official station measurements, typically taken at standardized sites, will resolve the market, with any late revisions in post-event verification the main remaining uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti