Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high of 22–24°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market's heaviest weighting toward 24°C and 23°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology near 21–22°C highs while accounting for modest model spread in daytime maximums. Low moisture and absent strong advection limit upside potential above 25°C or downside below 22°C, with final resolution hinging on observational data from local stations. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty window ahead of any last-model updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 1° settembre?
24°C 45%
23°C 29%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
45%
25°C
11%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 29%
25°C 11%
22°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
45%
25°C
11%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with GFS and ECMWF guidance, indicate a high of 22–24°C for Munich on September 1 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and stable high pressure with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus drives the market's heaviest weighting toward 24°C and 23°C, reflecting typical early-September climatology near 21–22°C highs while accounting for modest model spread in daytime maximums. Low moisture and absent strong advection limit upside potential above 25°C or downside below 22°C, with final resolution hinging on observational data from local stations. Traders appear to price the narrow uncertainty window ahead of any last-model updates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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