Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with sources such as WeatherBug and German meteorological services, indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C in Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22°C, driven by stable high-pressure patterns and above-average warmth persisting from late August. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 24–26°C, with limited spread due to consistent steering flow and modest diurnal heating under broken cloud cover. Traders have assigned 63.5% implied probability to exactly 25°C, reflecting the narrow forecast range and proximity to resolution, though minor model adjustments or localized variations could still shift the precise peak by 1°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 2 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 2 settembre?
25°C 64%
24°C 24%
26°C 12%
23°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
24%
25°C
64%
26°C
12%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 64%
24°C 24%
26°C 12%
23°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
2 set 2026
20°C or below
$483 Vol.
1%
21°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$253 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,170 Vol.
4%
24°C
$2,236 Vol.
24%
25°C
$3,082 Vol.
64%
26°C
$929 Vol.
12%
27°C
$582 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$143 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with sources such as WeatherBug and German meteorological services, indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C in Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22°C, driven by stable high-pressure patterns and above-average warmth persisting from late August. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 24–26°C, with limited spread due to consistent steering flow and modest diurnal heating under broken cloud cover. Traders have assigned 63.5% implied probability to exactly 25°C, reflecting the narrow forecast range and proximity to resolution, though minor model adjustments or localized variations could still shift the precise peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,432Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with sources such as WeatherBug and German meteorological services, indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C in Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22°C, driven by stable high-pressure patterns and above-average warmth persisting from late August. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 24–26°C, with limited spread due to consistent steering flow and modest diurnal heating under broken cloud cover. Traders have assigned 63.5% implied probability to exactly 25°C, reflecting the narrow forecast range and proximity to resolution, though minor model adjustments or localized variations could still shift the precise peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,432Data di fine
2 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including outputs aligned with sources such as WeatherBug and German meteorological services, indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C in Munich on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This places the outcome well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22°C, driven by stable high-pressure patterns and above-average warmth persisting from late August. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 24–26°C, with limited spread due to consistent steering flow and modest diurnal heating under broken cloud cover. Traders have assigned 63.5% implied probability to exactly 25°C, reflecting the narrow forecast range and proximity to resolution, though minor model adjustments or localized variations could still shift the precise peak by 1°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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