Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime solar heating. This aligns with a modest positive anomaly relative to the late-September climatological average high near 29–30°C, with dry air and minimal cloud cover supporting the outcome. Trader consensus at 64% for 32°C and 30% for 33°C reflects the narrow spread in guidance and low precipitation risk. Official resolution will depend on Israel Meteorological Service station readings, where small variations in timing of peak heating or local sea-breeze effects could shift the final value within the current tight probability range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 13 settembre?
32°C 64%
33°C 30%
31°C 5%
34°C 3%
28°C o meno
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
64%
33°C
30%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 64%
33°C 30%
31°C 5%
34°C 3%
28°C o meno
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
64%
33°C
30%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 13 under persistent subtropical high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that enhance daytime solar heating. This aligns with a modest positive anomaly relative to the late-September climatological average high near 29–30°C, with dry air and minimal cloud cover supporting the outcome. Trader consensus at 64% for 32°C and 30% for 33°C reflects the narrow spread in guidance and low precipitation risk. Official resolution will depend on Israel Meteorological Service station readings, where small variations in timing of peak heating or local sea-breeze effects could shift the final value within the current tight probability range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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