Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sunny, high-pressure dominated pattern over Zhengzhou on August 31, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 32–34°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57.5% probability for 32°C or higher, following cooler readings near 29–31°C on August 30 amid a brief post-frontal stabilization. Historical late-August averages near 31°C and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture reinforce expectations for modest warming under clear conditions, though minor model spread around peak insolation leaves room for 31°C outcomes at 24.5% odds. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 31 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 31 agosto?
32°C or higher 57%
31°C 48%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
19%
31°C
48%
32°C or higher
57%
32°C or higher 57%
31°C 48%
30°C 19%
29°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 ago 2026
22°C or below
$16 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
48%
32°C or higher
$712 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sunny, high-pressure dominated pattern over Zhengzhou on August 31, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 32–34°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57.5% probability for 32°C or higher, following cooler readings near 29–31°C on August 30 amid a brief post-frontal stabilization. Historical late-August averages near 31°C and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture reinforce expectations for modest warming under clear conditions, though minor model spread around peak insolation leaves room for 31°C outcomes at 24.5% odds. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$739Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sunny, high-pressure dominated pattern over Zhengzhou on August 31, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 32–34°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57.5% probability for 32°C or higher, following cooler readings near 29–31°C on August 30 amid a brief post-frontal stabilization. Historical late-August averages near 31°C and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture reinforce expectations for modest warming under clear conditions, though minor model spread around peak insolation leaves room for 31°C outcomes at 24.5% odds. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$739Data di fine
31 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a sunny, high-pressure dominated pattern over Zhengzhou on August 31, with light northerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 32–34°C. This aligns with the market-implied 57.5% probability for 32°C or higher, following cooler readings near 29–31°C on August 30 amid a brief post-frontal stabilization. Historical late-August averages near 31°C and the absence of incoming frontal systems or significant moisture reinforce expectations for modest warming under clear conditions, though minor model spread around peak insolation leaves room for 31°C outcomes at 24.5% odds. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will refine these probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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