The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since February 2025, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April producer prices and resilient economic data that have tempered expectations for additional Federal Reserve easing. With the fed funds rate holding steady near 3.50–3.75 percent amid sticky core inflation around 3 percent, markets are pricing in limited near-term rate cuts and elevated term premiums. Rising Treasury issuance to finance fiscal deficits, combined with potential tariff-related price pressures, continues to anchor longer-term yields above 4 percent. Traders are closely watching the May CPI release and the next FOMC meeting for signals on whether yields could test the 4.75–5.00 percent zone before year-end or remain capped by moderating growth.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanto sarà alto il rendimento del Tesoro a 10 anni prima del 2027?
Quanto sarà alto il rendimento del Tesoro a 10 anni prima del 2027?
$216,252 Vol.
31 dic 2026
4,6%
95%
4,8%
45%
5,0%
26%
5,2%
12%
5,5%
7%
5,7%
6%
6,0%
4%
$216,252 Vol.
4,6%
$37,797 Vol.
95%
4,8%
$47,611 Vol.
45%
5,0%
$49,754 Vol.
26%
5,2%
$9,848 Vol.
12%
5,5%
$1,471 Vol.
7%
5,7%
$3,229 Vol.
6%
6,0%
$2,152 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since February 2025, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April producer prices and resilient economic data that have tempered expectations for additional Federal Reserve easing. With the fed funds rate holding steady near 3.50–3.75 percent amid sticky core inflation around 3 percent, markets are pricing in limited near-term rate cuts and elevated term premiums. Rising Treasury issuance to finance fiscal deficits, combined with potential tariff-related price pressures, continues to anchor longer-term yields above 4 percent. Traders are closely watching the May CPI release and the next FOMC meeting for signals on whether yields could test the 4.75–5.00 percent zone before year-end or remain capped by moderating growth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Volume
$216,252Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since February 2025, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April producer prices and resilient economic data that have tempered expectations for additional Federal Reserve easing. With the fed funds rate holding steady near 3.50–3.75 percent amid sticky core inflation around 3 percent, markets are pricing in limited near-term rate cuts and elevated term premiums. Rising Treasury issuance to finance fiscal deficits, combined with potential tariff-related price pressures, continues to anchor longer-term yields above 4 percent. Traders are closely watching the May CPI release and the next FOMC meeting for signals on whether yields could test the 4.75–5.00 percent zone before year-end or remain capped by moderating growth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volume
$216,252Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.59 percent as of May 15, 2026, its highest level since February 2025, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April producer prices and resilient economic data that have tempered expectations for additional Federal Reserve easing. With the fed funds rate holding steady near 3.50–3.75 percent amid sticky core inflation around 3 percent, markets are pricing in limited near-term rate cuts and elevated term premiums. Rising Treasury issuance to finance fiscal deficits, combined with potential tariff-related price pressures, continues to anchor longer-term yields above 4 percent. Traders are closely watching the May CPI release and the next FOMC meeting for signals on whether yields could test the 4.75–5.00 percent zone before year-end or remain capped by moderating growth.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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