IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'AIEA visita il sito nucleare di Isfahan, Fordow o Natanz da...?
L'AIEA visita il sito nucleare di Isfahan, Fordow o Natanz da...?
$348,717 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 agosto
1%
31 ottobre
15%
31 dicembre
23%
$348,717 Vol.
31 agosto
$52,844 Vol.
1%
31 ottobre
$77,203 Vol.
15%
31 dicembre
$25,347 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$348,717Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$348,717Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...IAEA access to Iran's Isfahan, Fordow, and Natanz nuclear facilities remains restricted following U.S. and Israeli strikes on the sites in June 2025, which halted comprehensive verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles and post-strike conditions under NPT safeguards. Iran has granted only selective inspections at unaffected locations such as Bushehr while conditioning resumed entry to the damaged enrichment plants on finalized diplomatic agreements and national sovereignty considerations. A June 2026 interim U.S.-Iran understanding and related IAEA Board resolution have prompted Director General Grossi to outline plans for visits once inspection modalities, dates, and procedures are agreed, though Iranian statements tie any such access to completion of a broader final accord. Satellite imagery continues to show activity at Isfahan tunnel complexes storing 20% and 60% enriched uranium, sustaining focus on the pace of bilateral talks and sequencing of safeguards verification through year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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