Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, marking the end of his eight-year tenure that spanned major economic challenges including inflation surges and pandemic recovery measures. President Trump’s nominee, Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, advanced through Senate confirmation proceedings with a party-line committee vote, positioning him to assume the role amid ongoing debates over central bank independence. Powell has publicly stated he will continue serving as a governor on the Federal Reserve Board until at least January 2028 or until certain internal investigations conclude, a move that preserves board continuity but limits immediate vacancies for new appointees. This transition occurs against a backdrop of administration efforts to influence monetary policy, with traders closely monitoring the exact swearing-in date for Warsh and any statements on interest-rate direction or institutional autonomy that could affect near-term economic expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$211,646 Vol.
June 30
99%
May 31
88%
$211,646 Vol.
June 30
99%
May 31
88%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, marking the end of his eight-year tenure that spanned major economic challenges including inflation surges and pandemic recovery measures. President Trump’s nominee, Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor, advanced through Senate confirmation proceedings with a party-line committee vote, positioning him to assume the role amid ongoing debates over central bank independence. Powell has publicly stated he will continue serving as a governor on the Federal Reserve Board until at least January 2028 or until certain internal investigations conclude, a move that preserves board continuity but limits immediate vacancies for new appointees. This transition occurs against a backdrop of administration efforts to influence monetary policy, with traders closely monitoring the exact swearing-in date for Warsh and any statements on interest-rate direction or institutional autonomy that could affect near-term economic expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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