Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, paving the way for Senate-confirmed successor Kevin Warsh to assume the role. Powell had signaled in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period after stepping down from the chairmanship, citing ongoing legal and political pressures on the institution. His separate 14-year term as a governor extends until January 2028, creating a structural distinction between the chair position and board membership that has historically shaped transition timing. With the formal end of the chair term now passed and the successor already confirmed, trader focus has shifted to resolution criteria around exact departure dates and any interim board service. Upcoming Senate actions or further administration statements on Fed leadership could still influence final settlement if markets incorporate post-term developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$211,971 Vol.
June 30
99%
May 31
92%
$211,971 Vol.
June 30
99%
May 31
92%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, paving the way for Senate-confirmed successor Kevin Warsh to assume the role. Powell had signaled in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period after stepping down from the chairmanship, citing ongoing legal and political pressures on the institution. His separate 14-year term as a governor extends until January 2028, creating a structural distinction between the chair position and board membership that has historically shaped transition timing. With the formal end of the chair term now passed and the successor already confirmed, trader focus has shifted to resolution criteria around exact departure dates and any interim board service. Upcoming Senate actions or further administration statements on Fed leadership could still influence final settlement if markets incorporate post-term developments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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