**Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to a September 10 minimum in Cape Town near 12–15 °C, shaped by moderate southerly winds and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Persistent south to south-easterly flow promotes mixing of the boundary layer while marine air influence keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, with minima several degrees milder than the September climatological average of roughly 9–11 °C, yet traders assign the highest probability (34 %) to 9 °C or below, reflecting residual model spread on wind strength and cloud timing. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise overnight low recorded at official stations, where even small shifts in dew-point depression or wind gusts can move the outcome across adjacent degree bins. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near the current consensus range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Città del Capo il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Città del Capo il 10 settembre?
9°C o inferiore 90%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
13°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
90%
10°C
12%
11°C
39%
12°C
23%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
22%
17°C
8%
18°C
<1%
19°C o superiore
9%
9°C o inferiore 90%
15°C 40%
11°C 39%
13°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$30 Vol.
90%
10°C
$30 Vol.
12%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$5 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$25 Vol.
8%
18°C
$25 Vol.
<1%
19°C o superiore
$26 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to a September 10 minimum in Cape Town near 12–15 °C, shaped by moderate southerly winds and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Persistent south to south-easterly flow promotes mixing of the boundary layer while marine air influence keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, with minima several degrees milder than the September climatological average of roughly 9–11 °C, yet traders assign the highest probability (34 %) to 9 °C or below, reflecting residual model spread on wind strength and cloud timing. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise overnight low recorded at official stations, where even small shifts in dew-point depression or wind gusts can move the outcome across adjacent degree bins. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near the current consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$142Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to a September 10 minimum in Cape Town near 12–15 °C, shaped by moderate southerly winds and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Persistent south to south-easterly flow promotes mixing of the boundary layer while marine air influence keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, with minima several degrees milder than the September climatological average of roughly 9–11 °C, yet traders assign the highest probability (34 %) to 9 °C or below, reflecting residual model spread on wind strength and cloud timing. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise overnight low recorded at official stations, where even small shifts in dew-point depression or wind gusts can move the outcome across adjacent degree bins. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near the current consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$142Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international ensembles point to a September 10 minimum in Cape Town near 12–15 °C, shaped by moderate southerly winds and increasing overnight cloud cover that limits radiative cooling.** Persistent south to south-easterly flow promotes mixing of the boundary layer while marine air influence keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, with minima several degrees milder than the September climatological average of roughly 9–11 °C, yet traders assign the highest probability (34 %) to 9 °C or below, reflecting residual model spread on wind strength and cloud timing. Key resolution thresholds hinge on the precise overnight low recorded at official stations, where even small shifts in dew-point depression or wind gusts can move the outcome across adjacent degree bins. Updated model runs overnight will clarify whether conditions trend cooler or remain near the current consensus range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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