Incoming cold air from northern China, expected to reach Chongqing's western, northern, and eastern fringes during September 9 before affecting the urban core overnight, drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–30 °C for the daily minimum. Numerical weather models show modest spread in timing and intensity of this transition, with some projecting a low near 22–24 °C under clearer skies and others holding closer to 28–29 °C amid lingering humidity and possible scattered convection that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September climatology places typical overnight lows near 22 °C, but the final warm spell before sustained autumn cooling introduces genuine forecast uncertainty that traders appear to price evenly across the 26–30 °C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chongqing il 9 settembre?
27°C 50%
26°C 42%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
24°C o inferiore
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
50%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
15%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 50%
26°C 42%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
24°C o inferiore
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
26%
27°C
50%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
25%
31°C
15%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Incoming cold air from northern China, expected to reach Chongqing's western, northern, and eastern fringes during September 9 before affecting the urban core overnight, drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–30 °C for the daily minimum. Numerical weather models show modest spread in timing and intensity of this transition, with some projecting a low near 22–24 °C under clearer skies and others holding closer to 28–29 °C amid lingering humidity and possible scattered convection that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September climatology places typical overnight lows near 22 °C, but the final warm spell before sustained autumn cooling introduces genuine forecast uncertainty that traders appear to price evenly across the 26–30 °C band.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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