Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and overcast skies on August 26, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the climatological average of 25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a narrow range of possible lows, with cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds preventing sharper drops while residual moisture from regional systems sustains warmth. Trader odds cluster tightly around 26–28°C because these conditions introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, though probabilities for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C remain low given stable late-summer patterns. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from evolving steering flows or rainfall totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 26 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Guangzhou il 26 agosto?
23°C 49%
29°C 39%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
39%
30°C
12%
31°C o superiore
1%
23°C 49%
29°C 39%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
26 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$185 Vol.
2%
22°C
$135 Vol.
7%
23°C
$15 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$140 Vol.
39%
30°C
$75 Vol.
12%
31°C o superiore
$16 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and overcast skies on August 26, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the climatological average of 25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a narrow range of possible lows, with cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds preventing sharper drops while residual moisture from regional systems sustains warmth. Trader odds cluster tightly around 26–28°C because these conditions introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, though probabilities for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C remain low given stable late-summer patterns. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from evolving steering flows or rainfall totals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$566Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and overcast skies on August 26, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the climatological average of 25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a narrow range of possible lows, with cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds preventing sharper drops while residual moisture from regional systems sustains warmth. Trader odds cluster tightly around 26–28°C because these conditions introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, though probabilities for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C remain low given stable late-summer patterns. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from evolving steering flows or rainfall totals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$566Data di fine
26 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and overcast skies on August 26, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the climatological average of 25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a narrow range of possible lows, with cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds preventing sharper drops while residual moisture from regional systems sustains warmth. Trader odds cluster tightly around 26–28°C because these conditions introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, though probabilities for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C remain low given stable late-summer patterns. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from evolving steering flows or rainfall totals.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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