Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 7, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer humidity. Early-September conditions under an emerging El Niño favor above-normal warmth overall, yet a broad cloud band and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping below 25°C in most runs. A strengthening northeast monsoon signal arrives only after the 9th, so it exerts limited influence on the immediate period. Traders are weighting the latest 9-day HKO outlook and high-resolution guidance that resolve the 1°C spread, with fresh model cycles expected to tighten probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 7 settembre?
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 14%
32°C o superiore 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
8%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
9%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
10%
30°C
10%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
11%
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 14%
32°C o superiore 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
8%
23°C
$0 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$88 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$20 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
10%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 7, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer humidity. Early-September conditions under an emerging El Niño favor above-normal warmth overall, yet a broad cloud band and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping below 25°C in most runs. A strengthening northeast monsoon signal arrives only after the 9th, so it exerts limited influence on the immediate period. Traders are weighting the latest 9-day HKO outlook and high-resolution guidance that resolve the 1°C spread, with fresh model cycles expected to tighten probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$108Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 7, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer humidity. Early-September conditions under an emerging El Niño favor above-normal warmth overall, yet a broad cloud band and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping below 25°C in most runs. A strengthening northeast monsoon signal arrives only after the 9th, so it exerts limited influence on the immediate period. Traders are weighting the latest 9-day HKO outlook and high-resolution guidance that resolve the 1°C spread, with fresh model cycles expected to tighten probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$108Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model consensus point to overnight lows of 26–27°C on September 7, with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes reflecting minor differences in simulated cloud cover, shower timing, and boundary-layer humidity. Early-September conditions under an emerging El Niño favor above-normal warmth overall, yet a broad cloud band and light variable winds limit radiative cooling, keeping minima from dropping below 25°C in most runs. A strengthening northeast monsoon signal arrives only after the 9th, so it exerts limited influence on the immediate period. Traders are weighting the latest 9-day HKO outlook and high-resolution guidance that resolve the 1°C spread, with fresh model cycles expected to tighten probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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