Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum temperature on September 6 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by light variable winds, extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity that suppress radiative cooling overnight. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and elevated soil moisture further limit nocturnal drops. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes around 26–27°C reflects this baseline while assigning meaningful probability to 22°C or below if clearer breaks allow greater heat loss. Model runs show limited spread in steering patterns, with any intensification of showers or a subtle wind shift the main variables that could nudge the recorded low across resolution thresholds in the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 6 settembre?
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 26%
24°C 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
20%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
32%
27°C
31%
28°C
20%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
19%
32°C o superiore
11%
26°C 32%
27°C 31%
25°C 26%
24°C 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$0 Vol.
20%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum temperature on September 6 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by light variable winds, extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity that suppress radiative cooling overnight. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and elevated soil moisture further limit nocturnal drops. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes around 26–27°C reflects this baseline while assigning meaningful probability to 22°C or below if clearer breaks allow greater heat loss. Model runs show limited spread in steering patterns, with any intensification of showers or a subtle wind shift the main variables that could nudge the recorded low across resolution thresholds in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum temperature on September 6 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by light variable winds, extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity that suppress radiative cooling overnight. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and elevated soil moisture further limit nocturnal drops. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes around 26–27°C reflects this baseline while assigning meaningful probability to 22°C or below if clearer breaks allow greater heat loss. Model runs show limited spread in steering patterns, with any intensification of showers or a subtle wind shift the main variables that could nudge the recorded low across resolution thresholds in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a daily minimum temperature on September 6 most likely between 26–27°C, driven by light variable winds, extensive cloud cover, scattered showers, and high relative humidity that suppress radiative cooling overnight. Sea surface temperatures near 25°C and elevated soil moisture further limit nocturnal drops. Trader consensus across closely matched outcomes around 26–27°C reflects this baseline while assigning meaningful probability to 22°C or below if clearer breaks allow greater heat loss. Model runs show limited spread in steering patterns, with any intensification of showers or a subtle wind shift the main variables that could nudge the recorded low across resolution thresholds in the next 48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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