Latest forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project overnight lows in Jinan on August 24 around 24–27°C, driven by persistent late-summer subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for Shandong in late August, where average minima hover near 23°C and strong frontal systems capable of sharper drops remain absent. The resulting trader consensus places 22°C or higher at 55% implied probability as the dominant outcome, with probabilities clustering around 23–26% for 19–21°C ranges reflecting minor model spread in timing or intensity of any showers. Upcoming updates from regional short-range models will refine these values ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 24 agosto?
12°C o inferiore 54%
19°C 52%
20°C 52%
21°C 52%
12°C o inferiore
54%
13°C
42%
14°C
42%
15°C
42%
16°C
42%
17°C
42%
18°C
42%
19°C
52%
20°C
52%
21°C
52%
22°C o superiore
55%
12°C o inferiore 54%
19°C 52%
20°C 52%
21°C 52%
12°C o inferiore
54%
13°C
42%
14°C
42%
15°C
42%
16°C
42%
17°C
42%
18°C
42%
19°C
52%
20°C
52%
21°C
52%
22°C o superiore
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project overnight lows in Jinan on August 24 around 24–27°C, driven by persistent late-summer subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for Shandong in late August, where average minima hover near 23°C and strong frontal systems capable of sharper drops remain absent. The resulting trader consensus places 22°C or higher at 55% implied probability as the dominant outcome, with probabilities clustering around 23–26% for 19–21°C ranges reflecting minor model spread in timing or intensity of any showers. Upcoming updates from regional short-range models will refine these values ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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