Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in London on August 30, with cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a mild maritime air mass limiting overnight radiational cooling and keeping values near the seasonal average. Trader consensus clusters on 16°C (45.5%) ahead of 17°C (38%) because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds, which can alter the low by 1°C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors milder readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 30 agosto?
16°C 42%
17°C 37%
15°C 24%
18°C 16%
11°C o inferiore
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
15%
15°C
24%
16°C
42%
17°C
37%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C o superiore
1%
16°C 42%
17°C 37%
15°C 24%
18°C 16%
11°C o inferiore
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
14%
14°C
15%
15°C
24%
16°C
42%
17°C
37%
18°C
16%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and supporting model runs point to a minimum temperature of 15–17°C in London on August 30, with cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly flow, and a mild maritime air mass limiting overnight radiational cooling and keeping values near the seasonal average. Trader consensus clusters on 16°C (45.5%) ahead of 17°C (38%) because ensemble spreads show modest sensitivity to exact cloud timing and wind speeds, which can alter the low by 1°C. Historical August minima in the capital average near 14–15°C, but the current unsettled pattern favors milder readings. Updated high-resolution forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF, expected within the next 24–48 hours, will provide the clearest signal ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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