**Forecast models indicate a stable overnight low near 17–19°C for Milan on September 19, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h, and high pressure supporting moderate radiative cooling.** Recent runs from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and local Italian meteorological services show daytime highs climbing to 26–28°C before temperatures fall to the upper teens after midnight, with dew points in the mid-teens limiting further drops. Historical September climatology for Milan places typical minima around 14–16°C, but current drier and clearer conditions favor slightly milder values. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 21°C+ and 11°C or below reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum, as small variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat island effects at official stations can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. New model updates overnight on September 18–19 will likely tighten this range ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 19 settembre?
11°C o inferiore 90%
21°C o superiore 87%
14°C 39%
18°C 38%
11°C o inferiore
90%
12°C
17%
13°C
18%
14°C
39%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
38%
19°C
37%
20°C
14%
21°C o superiore
87%
11°C o inferiore 90%
21°C o superiore 87%
14°C 39%
18°C 38%
11°C o inferiore
90%
12°C
17%
13°C
18%
14°C
39%
15°C
25%
16°C
23%
17°C
23%
18°C
38%
19°C
37%
20°C
14%
21°C o superiore
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a stable overnight low near 17–19°C for Milan on September 19, driven by clear to mostly clear skies, light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h, and high pressure supporting moderate radiative cooling.** Recent runs from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF-influenced guidance, and local Italian meteorological services show daytime highs climbing to 26–28°C before temperatures fall to the upper teens after midnight, with dew points in the mid-teens limiting further drops. Historical September climatology for Milan places typical minima around 14–16°C, but current drier and clearer conditions favor slightly milder values. The near-even split in market-implied odds between 21°C+ and 11°C or below reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty in the precise minimum, as small variations in cloud cover, wind, or urban heat island effects at official stations can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C. New model updates overnight on September 18–19 will likely tighten this range ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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