Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 4 likely near 22–23°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering around 18–20°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and slight uncertainties in dew point and wind speed overnight, with historical September baselines around 16°C underscoring how current warmth elevates the floor. Key resolution hinges on official observational data amid stable synoptic patterns, with any late model shifts in steering flow potentially widening the range before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 4 settembre?
14°C o inferiore 82%
24°C o superiore 82%
21°C 81%
17°C 80%
14°C o inferiore
82%
15°C
20%
16°C
75%
17°C
80%
18°C
50%
19°C
49%
20°C
43%
21°C
81%
22°C
2%
23°C
80%
24°C o superiore
82%
14°C o inferiore 82%
24°C o superiore 82%
21°C 81%
17°C 80%
14°C o inferiore
82%
15°C
20%
16°C
75%
17°C
80%
18°C
50%
19°C
49%
20°C
43%
21°C
81%
22°C
2%
23°C
80%
24°C o superiore
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a minimum temperature in Milan on September 4 likely near 22–23°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering around 18–20°C reflects model spread in boundary-layer temperatures and slight uncertainties in dew point and wind speed overnight, with historical September baselines around 16°C underscoring how current warmth elevates the floor. Key resolution hinges on official observational data amid stable synoptic patterns, with any late model shifts in steering flow potentially widening the range before market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti