Recent forecast guidance from Russian meteorological centers and international models points to overnight lows of 9–13°C in central Moscow on August 29, with possible localized dips to 6°C in outlying areas under clear skies and light winds. This baseline supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered between 5°C and 12°C, while the 43% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader caution around model spread for radiational cooling and the historical potential for sharper drops in late-August high-pressure regimes. Upcoming evening model runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and updated ensemble guidance will likely refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 29 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 29 agosto?
3°C or below 87%
5°C 45%
13°C or higher 44%
7°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
3°C or below
87%
4°C
<1%
5°C
45%
6°C
26%
7°C
27%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C or higher
44%
3°C or below 87%
5°C 45%
13°C or higher 44%
7°C 27%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 ago 2026
3°C or below
$5 Vol.
87%
4°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$65 Vol.
45%
6°C
$59 Vol.
26%
7°C
$0 Vol.
27%
8°C
$0 Vol.
27%
9°C
$0 Vol.
27%
10°C
$0 Vol.
27%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C or higher
$5 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Russian meteorological centers and international models points to overnight lows of 9–13°C in central Moscow on August 29, with possible localized dips to 6°C in outlying areas under clear skies and light winds. This baseline supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered between 5°C and 12°C, while the 43% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader caution around model spread for radiational cooling and the historical potential for sharper drops in late-August high-pressure regimes. Upcoming evening model runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and updated ensemble guidance will likely refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$169Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Russian meteorological centers and international models points to overnight lows of 9–13°C in central Moscow on August 29, with possible localized dips to 6°C in outlying areas under clear skies and light winds. This baseline supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered between 5°C and 12°C, while the 43% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader caution around model spread for radiational cooling and the historical potential for sharper drops in late-August high-pressure regimes. Upcoming evening model runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and updated ensemble guidance will likely refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$169Data di fine
29 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Russian meteorological centers and international models points to overnight lows of 9–13°C in central Moscow on August 29, with possible localized dips to 6°C in outlying areas under clear skies and light winds. This baseline supports the market’s emphasis on outcomes clustered between 5°C and 12°C, while the 43% implied probability on 3°C or below reflects trader caution around model spread for radiational cooling and the historical potential for sharper drops in late-August high-pressure regimes. Upcoming evening model runs from the Hydrometeorological Center and updated ensemble guidance will likely refine the overnight minimum ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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