Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 18 near 12–13°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry conditions that favor moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader focus on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes reflects narrow model spreads around the climatological average low of roughly 11.4°C, with small differences in dew-point depression, wind speeds near 5–7 mph, and timing of any thin cloud cover determining whether the mercury dips below or holds at 12°C. Official guidance shows limited precipitation risk and stable high pressure, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while acknowledging typical ensemble uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 18 settembre?
12°C 35%
11°C 34%
14°C 18%
9°C 15%
7°C o inferiore
9%
8°C
12%
9°C
15%
10°C
10%
11°C
34%
12°C
40%
13°C
14%
14°C
18%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C o superiore
2%
12°C 35%
11°C 34%
14°C 18%
9°C 15%
7°C o inferiore
9%
8°C
12%
9°C
15%
10°C
10%
11°C
34%
12°C
40%
13°C
14%
14°C
18%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 18 near 12–13°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and dry conditions that favor moderate overnight radiative cooling. Trader focus on the 11°C and 12°C outcomes reflects narrow model spreads around the climatological average low of roughly 11.4°C, with small differences in dew-point depression, wind speeds near 5–7 mph, and timing of any thin cloud cover determining whether the mercury dips below or holds at 12°C. Official guidance shows limited precipitation risk and stable high pressure, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while acknowledging typical ensemble uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti