Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows for Paris on September 2 near the long-term climatological average of 13.1°C, with light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after a mild daytime high around 24–26°C. These conditions support the market's tight clustering around 13°C (36% implied probability) and 14°C (30%), as modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of cloud arrival creates uncertainty between those two bins. Recent high-pressure dominance has kept anomalies small, though any earlier clearing could allow a dip toward 12°C while persistent clouds favor the higher end of the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 2 settembre?
13°C 36%
14°C 30%
15°C 19%
16°C 13%
10°C o inferiore
10%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
30%
15°C
19%
16°C
13%
17°C
7%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C o superiore
1%
13°C 36%
14°C 30%
15°C 19%
16°C 13%
10°C o inferiore
10%
11°C
9%
12°C
9%
13°C
36%
14°C
30%
15°C
19%
16°C
13%
17°C
7%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including GFS runs, indicate overnight lows for Paris on September 2 near the long-term climatological average of 13.1°C, with light northerly winds and increasing cloud cover limiting radiative cooling after a mild daytime high around 24–26°C. These conditions support the market's tight clustering around 13°C (36% implied probability) and 14°C (30%), as modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of cloud arrival creates uncertainty between those two bins. Recent high-pressure dominance has kept anomalies small, though any earlier clearing could allow a dip toward 12°C while persistent clouds favor the higher end of the range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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