Recent ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place the September 1 overnight minimum in Paris near 13–14 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflecting small but decisive differences in modeled radiative cooling under light westerly flow and variable low-level cloud. Clearer skies in some members allow stronger nocturnal heat loss, while modest increases in wind or cloud keep temperatures a degree higher; dew points hovering around 12–13 °C further cap the drop by limiting evaporative cooling. These short-range model spreads, updated within the past 24–48 hours, explain why 13 °C edges 14 °C while lower or higher thresholds remain less favored ahead of the final forecast adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 1° settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Parigi il 1° settembre?
13°C 34%
14°C 32%
12°C 15%
15°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
4%
10°C
10%
11°C
12%
12°C
15%
13°C
34%
14°C
32%
15°C
14%
16°C
11%
17°C
8%
18°C
8%
19°C o superiore
2%
13°C 34%
14°C 32%
12°C 15%
15°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
1 set 2026
9°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$41 Vol.
10%
11°C
$52 Vol.
12%
12°C
$0 Vol.
15%
13°C
$0 Vol.
34%
14°C
$0 Vol.
32%
15°C
$0 Vol.
14%
16°C
$0 Vol.
11%
17°C
$0 Vol.
8%
18°C
$10 Vol.
8%
19°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place the September 1 overnight minimum in Paris near 13–14 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflecting small but decisive differences in modeled radiative cooling under light westerly flow and variable low-level cloud. Clearer skies in some members allow stronger nocturnal heat loss, while modest increases in wind or cloud keep temperatures a degree higher; dew points hovering around 12–13 °C further cap the drop by limiting evaporative cooling. These short-range model spreads, updated within the past 24–48 hours, explain why 13 °C edges 14 °C while lower or higher thresholds remain less favored ahead of the final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$113Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place the September 1 overnight minimum in Paris near 13–14 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflecting small but decisive differences in modeled radiative cooling under light westerly flow and variable low-level cloud. Clearer skies in some members allow stronger nocturnal heat loss, while modest increases in wind or cloud keep temperatures a degree higher; dew points hovering around 12–13 °C further cap the drop by limiting evaporative cooling. These short-range model spreads, updated within the past 24–48 hours, explain why 13 °C edges 14 °C while lower or higher thresholds remain less favored ahead of the final forecast adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$113Data di fine
1 set 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS place the September 1 overnight minimum in Paris near 13–14 °C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities reflecting small but decisive differences in modeled radiative cooling under light westerly flow and variable low-level cloud. Clearer skies in some members allow stronger nocturnal heat loss, while modest increases in wind or cloud keep temperatures a degree higher; dew points hovering around 12–13 °C further cap the drop by limiting evaporative cooling. These short-range model spreads, updated within the past 24–48 hours, explain why 13 °C edges 14 °C while lower or higher thresholds remain less favored ahead of the final forecast adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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