**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the minimum temperature in Incheon on August 28, 2026, will most likely fall in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (58%) and 26°C (31.5%).** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration lists a forecast minimum of 24°C with a maximum near 30°C under mostly cloudy conditions, while other models (including PredictWind and Met Office) project overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light southerly winds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture levels—typical for late-August coastal Korea—limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling to the long-term average minimum of ~22.9°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the period add further insulation. With the market resolution based on official Incheon observations and forecasts showing tight clustering around 25°C, trader consensus reflects this model agreement while assigning lower probability to cooler outliers that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow. Updated model runs and the next official KMA briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 28 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 28 agosto?
25°C 59%
26°C 32%
24°C 9%
23°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
59%
26°C
32%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
1%
25°C 59%
26°C 32%
24°C 9%
23°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
28 ago 2026
19°C o inferiore
$288 Vol.
1%
20°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$304 Vol.
1%
22°C
$405 Vol.
1%
23°C
$116 Vol.
5%
24°C
$194 Vol.
9%
25°C
$301 Vol.
59%
26°C
$814 Vol.
32%
27°C
$125 Vol.
1%
28°C
$77 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$394 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the minimum temperature in Incheon on August 28, 2026, will most likely fall in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (58%) and 26°C (31.5%).** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration lists a forecast minimum of 24°C with a maximum near 30°C under mostly cloudy conditions, while other models (including PredictWind and Met Office) project overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light southerly winds.
Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture levels—typical for late-August coastal Korea—limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling to the long-term average minimum of ~22.9°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the period add further insulation. With the market resolution based on official Incheon observations and forecasts showing tight clustering around 25°C, trader consensus reflects this model agreement while assigning lower probability to cooler outliers that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow. Updated model runs and the next official KMA briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,253Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the minimum temperature in Incheon on August 28, 2026, will most likely fall in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (58%) and 26°C (31.5%).** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration lists a forecast minimum of 24°C with a maximum near 30°C under mostly cloudy conditions, while other models (including PredictWind and Met Office) project overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light southerly winds.
Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture levels—typical for late-August coastal Korea—limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling to the long-term average minimum of ~22.9°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the period add further insulation. With the market resolution based on official Incheon observations and forecasts showing tight clustering around 25°C, trader consensus reflects this model agreement while assigning lower probability to cooler outliers that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow. Updated model runs and the next official KMA briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,253Data di fine
28 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the minimum temperature in Incheon on August 28, 2026, will most likely fall in the 24–26°C range, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 25°C (58%) and 26°C (31.5%).** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration lists a forecast minimum of 24°C with a maximum near 30°C under mostly cloudy conditions, while other models (including PredictWind and Met Office) project overnight lows of 24–25°C amid high humidity and light southerly winds. Persistent cloud cover and elevated moisture levels—typical for late-August coastal Korea—limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling to the long-term average minimum of ~22.9°C. Scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the period add further insulation. With the market resolution based on official Incheon observations and forecasts showing tight clustering around 25°C, trader consensus reflects this model agreement while assigning lower probability to cooler outliers that would require clearer skies or stronger northerly flow. Updated model runs and the next official KMA briefing remain key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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