Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C in Incheon on September 5, driven by a stable high-pressure system centered over northeastern China that promotes clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28°C, with dew points around 18°C limiting further drops. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in wind speed and residual cloud cover that could shift the low by 1°C either way, consistent with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 19–21°C. Historical September baselines for the region average overnight lows near 18–20°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul (Incheon) il 5 settembre?
20°C 36%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
16°C 14%
13°C o inferiore
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
14%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
19%
20°C
36%
21°C
32%
22°C
4%
23°C o superiore
6%
20°C 36%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
16°C 14%
13°C o inferiore
3%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
14%
17°C
7%
18°C
9%
19°C
19%
20°C
36%
21°C
32%
22°C
4%
23°C o superiore
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 20–21°C in Incheon on September 5, driven by a stable high-pressure system centered over northeastern China that promotes clear skies and moderate northeasterly winds. These conditions favor nocturnal radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28°C, with dew points around 18°C limiting further drops. Ensemble spreads reflect minor uncertainties in wind speed and residual cloud cover that could shift the low by 1°C either way, consistent with market-implied odds clustering tightly around 19–21°C. Historical September baselines for the region average overnight lows near 18–20°C under similar synoptic patterns. Updated model runs and official KMA briefings ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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