Current short-range forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight minimums near 26–28°C on August 24 amid persistent subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Official model guidance and recent observations show daily lows holding in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima range 25–27°C. These atmospheric factors—elevated dew points and weak pressure gradients—support the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C and 28°C outcomes while keeping lower probabilities on 25°C or below. Updated numerical weather predictions and any last-minute shifts in steering flow will be the primary variables to watch before resolution against official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 24 agosto?
27°C 53%
28°C 36%
26°C 15%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
43%
28°C
19%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 53%
28°C 36%
26°C 15%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
43%
28°C
19%
29°C
10%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts for Shanghai point to overnight minimums near 26–28°C on August 24 amid persistent subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers or thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Official model guidance and recent observations show daily lows holding in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, consistent with late-August climatology where average minima range 25–27°C. These atmospheric factors—elevated dew points and weak pressure gradients—support the market’s heaviest weighting on 27°C and 28°C outcomes while keeping lower probabilities on 25°C or below. Updated numerical weather predictions and any last-minute shifts in steering flow will be the primary variables to watch before resolution against official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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