Latest forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Center project overnight lows in Shanghai of 26–28°C on August 22, driven by persistent summer humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological baselines for late August, where average lows hover near 25–27°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 27°C and 27% for 28°C incorporates recent model runs showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing that could nudge temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 22 agosto?
27°C 50%
28°C 28%
26°C 22%
25°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
50%
28°C
28%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 50%
28°C 28%
26°C 22%
25°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$515 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$671 Vol.
1%
24°C
$218 Vol.
1%
25°C
$305 Vol.
5%
26°C
$248 Vol.
22%
27°C
$283 Vol.
50%
28°C
$222 Vol.
28%
29°C
$201 Vol.
2%
30°C
$10 Vol.
1%
31°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$202 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Center project overnight lows in Shanghai of 26–28°C on August 22, driven by persistent summer humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological baselines for late August, where average lows hover near 25–27°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 27°C and 27% for 28°C incorporates recent model runs showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing that could nudge temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,963Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Center project overnight lows in Shanghai of 26–28°C on August 22, driven by persistent summer humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological baselines for late August, where average lows hover near 25–27°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 27°C and 27% for 28°C incorporates recent model runs showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing that could nudge temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,963Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from agencies like the National Meteorological Center project overnight lows in Shanghai of 26–28°C on August 22, driven by persistent summer humidity, cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions align with climatological baselines for late August, where average lows hover near 25–27°C amid the East Asian monsoon transition. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% implied probability for 27°C and 27% for 28°C incorporates recent model runs showing minimal deviation from seasonal norms, with uncertainty tied to exact rainfall timing that could nudge temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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