Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with August climatology of 25–27°C overnight lows amid typical northeasterly monsoon flow and high humidity. Afternoon thundershowers, common in late summer, can enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and slightly depress the daily minimum, creating the observed market spread across 26°C and 27°C leaders while allowing tail risk for 21°C or below under stronger convective activity. Model consensus shows limited deviation from baseline, with urban heat effects and precise shower timing introducing the main uncertainties for this short-range period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Taipei il 24 agosto?
21°C or below 42%
22°C 40%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
21°C or below
42%
22°C
40%
23°C
24%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
21°C or below 42%
22°C 40%
26°C 28%
27°C 28%
21°C or below
42%
22°C
40%
23°C
24%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
25%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a minimum near 26°C for Taipei on August 24, consistent with August climatology of 25–27°C overnight lows amid typical northeasterly monsoon flow and high humidity. Afternoon thundershowers, common in late summer, can enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and slightly depress the daily minimum, creating the observed market spread across 26°C and 27°C leaders while allowing tail risk for 21°C or below under stronger convective activity. Model consensus shows limited deviation from baseline, with urban heat effects and precise shower timing introducing the main uncertainties for this short-range period.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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