**Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and major models indicate an overnight minimum near 26°C for Taipei on August 26, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** Historical averages place late-August lows at 25–26°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–27°C outcomes amid model consensus on partly cloudy skies and light winds. Key variables differentiating the narrow range include the extent of overnight cloud breaks, which could permit additional cooling to 25°C or below if clearer intervals develop, versus sustained moisture and cloudiness holding the minimum at 27°C. Updated model runs and CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of market resolution.