Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models drives the closely matched market odds for Tel Aviv's September 20 minimum temperature, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to an unusually cool overnight low versus limited nocturnal cooling. Current guidance from multiple sources indicates clear skies and light winds under high pressure, favoring radiative cooling to a minimum near 23°C, consistent with climatological September averages. Key variables include model spread on boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean, and any subtle shifts in steering flow that could alter the degree of cooling before sunrise. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will likely refine the expected range ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 20 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 20 settembre?
18°C o inferiore 87%
28°C o superiore 86%
24°C 40%
19°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
87%
19°C
39%
20°C
13%
21°C
39%
22°C
21%
23°C
23%
24°C
40%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C o superiore
86%
18°C o inferiore 87%
28°C o superiore 86%
24°C 40%
19°C 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
20 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
87%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C
$5 Vol.
13%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
21%
23°C
$0 Vol.
23%
24°C
$0 Vol.
40%
25°C
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models drives the closely matched market odds for Tel Aviv's September 20 minimum temperature, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to an unusually cool overnight low versus limited nocturnal cooling. Current guidance from multiple sources indicates clear skies and light winds under high pressure, favoring radiative cooling to a minimum near 23°C, consistent with climatological September averages. Key variables include model spread on boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean, and any subtle shifts in steering flow that could alter the degree of cooling before sunrise. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will likely refine the expected range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models drives the closely matched market odds for Tel Aviv's September 20 minimum temperature, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to an unusually cool overnight low versus limited nocturnal cooling. Current guidance from multiple sources indicates clear skies and light winds under high pressure, favoring radiative cooling to a minimum near 23°C, consistent with climatological September averages. Key variables include model spread on boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean, and any subtle shifts in steering flow that could alter the degree of cooling before sunrise. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will likely refine the expected range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Data di fine
20 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in short-range numerical weather models drives the closely matched market odds for Tel Aviv's September 20 minimum temperature, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to an unusually cool overnight low versus limited nocturnal cooling. Current guidance from multiple sources indicates clear skies and light winds under high pressure, favoring radiative cooling to a minimum near 23°C, consistent with climatological September averages. Key variables include model spread on boundary-layer moisture, sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean, and any subtle shifts in steering flow that could alter the degree of cooling before sunrise. Updated model runs and observational data from regional stations will likely refine the expected range ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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