Recent forecasts from European models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C, driven by clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure system limiting warm-air advection. Recent days have seen similar patterns with overnight lows near 13–15°C amid seasonal norms of 10–12°C for mid-September. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the leading outcome because models show limited downward revision potential absent unexpected cloud cover or a stronger northerly flow, while higher bins reflect uncertainty in daytime mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum. New high-resolution runs and local station observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Varsavia il 15 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 83%
17°C o superiore 51%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
7°C o inferiore
83%
8°C
17%
9°C
25%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C o superiore
51%
7°C o inferiore 83%
17°C o superiore 51%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
7°C o inferiore
83%
8°C
17%
9°C
25%
10°C
27%
11°C
28%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
21%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C o superiore
51%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 15 will likely fall between 11–14°C, driven by clear overnight skies promoting radiative cooling, light variable winds, and a stable high-pressure system limiting warm-air advection. Recent days have seen similar patterns with overnight lows near 13–15°C amid seasonal norms of 10–12°C for mid-September. Trader consensus clusters around 10°C as the leading outcome because models show limited downward revision potential absent unexpected cloud cover or a stronger northerly flow, while higher bins reflect uncertainty in daytime mixing and exact timing of the daily minimum. New high-resolution runs and local station observations will refine the final reading before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti