**Recent forecast models point to a mild overnight minimum in Wellington on September 5, driven by persistent northwesterly winds advecting warmer maritime air ahead of a weakening front.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug shows daytime highs near 14–15 °C with overnight lows most likely 10–12 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 12 °C (36.5 %) and 13 °C (30.5 %) outcomes. Stronger winds limit radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover introduces modest uncertainty in the exact low. Traders appear to weigh these factors against September climatology, where minima average closer to 9 °C, producing balanced probabilities for both slightly milder and colder scenarios. Final model runs and local observations on the night of the 4th–5th will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 5 settembre?
7°C o inferiore 56%
17°C o superiore 56%
9°C 47%
12°C 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
56%
8°C
19%
9°C
47%
10°C
26%
11°C
27%
12°C
37%
13°C
31%
14°C
8%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o superiore
56%
7°C o inferiore 56%
17°C o superiore 56%
9°C 47%
12°C 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
7°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
56%
8°C
$0 Vol.
19%
9°C
$0 Vol.
47%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
37%
13°C
$0 Vol.
31%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast models point to a mild overnight minimum in Wellington on September 5, driven by persistent northwesterly winds advecting warmer maritime air ahead of a weakening front.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug shows daytime highs near 14–15 °C with overnight lows most likely 10–12 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 12 °C (36.5 %) and 13 °C (30.5 %) outcomes. Stronger winds limit radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover introduces modest uncertainty in the exact low. Traders appear to weigh these factors against September climatology, where minima average closer to 9 °C, producing balanced probabilities for both slightly milder and colder scenarios. Final model runs and local observations on the night of the 4th–5th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast models point to a mild overnight minimum in Wellington on September 5, driven by persistent northwesterly winds advecting warmer maritime air ahead of a weakening front.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug shows daytime highs near 14–15 °C with overnight lows most likely 10–12 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 12 °C (36.5 %) and 13 °C (30.5 %) outcomes. Stronger winds limit radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover introduces modest uncertainty in the exact low. Traders appear to weigh these factors against September climatology, where minima average closer to 9 °C, producing balanced probabilities for both slightly milder and colder scenarios. Final model runs and local observations on the night of the 4th–5th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast models point to a mild overnight minimum in Wellington on September 5, driven by persistent northwesterly winds advecting warmer maritime air ahead of a weakening front.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug shows daytime highs near 14–15 °C with overnight lows most likely 10–12 °C, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around the 12 °C (36.5 %) and 13 °C (30.5 %) outcomes. Stronger winds limit radiational cooling, while variable cloud cover introduces modest uncertainty in the exact low. Traders appear to weigh these factors against September climatology, where minima average closer to 9 °C, producing balanced probabilities for both slightly milder and colder scenarios. Final model runs and local observations on the night of the 4th–5th will determine resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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