Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan show overnight lows on September 16 clustering near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, before a stronger cold-air surge and rain arrive the following day. Ensemble guidance from regional and global models indicates limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual warmth, keeping the minimum above the seasonal average while ruling out both much warmer or sharply cooler outcomes. Traders have concentrated probability on the 20°C and 21°C bins because these align with the tightest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer transitions. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or National Meteorological Center overnight will provide the final verification data used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 16 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wuhan il 16 settembre?
27°C o superiore 59%
26°C 39%
24°C 35%
21°C 32%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
18%
18°C
14%
19°C
25%
20°C
24%
21°C
32%
22°C
24%
23°C
12%
24°C
35%
25°C
31%
26°C
39%
27°C o superiore
59%
27°C o superiore 59%
26°C 39%
24°C 35%
21°C 32%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 set 2026
17°C o inferiore
$180 Vol.
18%
18°C
$150 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
32%
22°C
$0 Vol.
24%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C
$0 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
39%
27°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan show overnight lows on September 16 clustering near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, before a stronger cold-air surge and rain arrive the following day. Ensemble guidance from regional and global models indicates limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual warmth, keeping the minimum above the seasonal average while ruling out both much warmer or sharply cooler outcomes. Traders have concentrated probability on the 20°C and 21°C bins because these align with the tightest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer transitions. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or National Meteorological Center overnight will provide the final verification data used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$330Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan show overnight lows on September 16 clustering near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, before a stronger cold-air surge and rain arrive the following day. Ensemble guidance from regional and global models indicates limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual warmth, keeping the minimum above the seasonal average while ruling out both much warmer or sharply cooler outcomes. Traders have concentrated probability on the 20°C and 21°C bins because these align with the tightest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer transitions. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or National Meteorological Center overnight will provide the final verification data used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$330Data di fine
16 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for Wuhan show overnight lows on September 16 clustering near 20–22°C under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, before a stronger cold-air surge and rain arrive the following day. Ensemble guidance from regional and global models indicates limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and residual warmth, keeping the minimum above the seasonal average while ruling out both much warmer or sharply cooler outcomes. Traders have concentrated probability on the 20°C and 21°C bins because these align with the tightest model consensus and historical analogs for similar late-summer transitions. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration or National Meteorological Center overnight will provide the final verification data used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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