Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding lead in trader consensus at 93.7% stems from Maryland's deep-blue political landscape, where Democrats hold supermajorities in the legislature, all statewide offices, and deliver consistent gubernatorial victories outside rare exceptions like Larry Hogan's 2014-2022 tenure. Despite a recent UMBC poll showing Moore's approval dipping below 50% in late March amid affordability frustrations and tax hikes to close a budget deficit, early hypotheticals confirm him leading generic Republicans by over 20 points, bolstered by superior fundraising. The crowded, underfunded Republican primary field lacks a standout contender post-Hogan's January declination. With the June 23 primary approaching, a Democratic upset, major scandal, or economic shock could challenge this, though historical base rates favor incumbency in safe states.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$15,599 Vol.
$15,599 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
94%
Repubblicano
6%
$15,599 Vol.
$15,599 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Democratico
$6,852 Vol.
94%
Repubblicano
$8,747 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding lead in trader consensus at 93.7% stems from Maryland's deep-blue political landscape, where Democrats hold supermajorities in the legislature, all statewide offices, and deliver consistent gubernatorial victories outside rare exceptions like Larry Hogan's 2014-2022 tenure. Despite a recent UMBC poll showing Moore's approval dipping below 50% in late March amid affordability frustrations and tax hikes to close a budget deficit, early hypotheticals confirm him leading generic Republicans by over 20 points, bolstered by superior fundraising. The crowded, underfunded Republican primary field lacks a standout contender post-Hogan's January declination. With the June 23 primary approaching, a Democratic upset, major scandal, or economic shock could challenge this, though historical base rates favor incumbency in safe states.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$15,599Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding lead in trader consensus at 93.7% stems from Maryland's deep-blue political landscape, where Democrats hold supermajorities in the legislature, all statewide offices, and deliver consistent gubernatorial victories outside rare exceptions like Larry Hogan's 2014-2022 tenure. Despite a recent UMBC poll showing Moore's approval dipping below 50% in late March amid affordability frustrations and tax hikes to close a budget deficit, early hypotheticals confirm him leading generic Republicans by over 20 points, bolstered by superior fundraising. The crowded, underfunded Republican primary field lacks a standout contender post-Hogan's January declination. With the June 23 primary approaching, a Democratic upset, major scandal, or economic shock could challenge this, though historical base rates favor incumbency in safe states.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,599Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore's commanding lead in trader consensus at 93.7% stems from Maryland's deep-blue political landscape, where Democrats hold supermajorities in the legislature, all statewide offices, and deliver consistent gubernatorial victories outside rare exceptions like Larry Hogan's 2014-2022 tenure. Despite a recent UMBC poll showing Moore's approval dipping below 50% in late March amid affordability frustrations and tax hikes to close a budget deficit, early hypotheticals confirm him leading generic Republicans by over 20 points, bolstered by superior fundraising. The crowded, underfunded Republican primary field lacks a standout contender post-Hogan's January declination. With the June 23 primary approaching, a Democratic upset, major scandal, or economic shock could challenge this, though historical base rates favor incumbency in safe states.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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