Bob Onder secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the August 4 primary, defeating challenger John Fraser, while Bethany Mann emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, consistent with Missouri's broader electoral patterns. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the incumbent's established position and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$14,410 Vol.
$14,410 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$14,410 Vol.
$14,410 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$5,321 Vol.
88%
Democratic Party
$9,089 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the August 4 primary, defeating challenger John Fraser, while Bethany Mann emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, consistent with Missouri's broader electoral patterns. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the incumbent's established position and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$14,410Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bob Onder secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the August 4 primary, defeating challenger John Fraser, while Bethany Mann emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, consistent with Missouri's broader electoral patterns. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the incumbent's established position and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,410Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bob Onder secured the Republican nomination for Missouri's 3rd Congressional District in the August 4 primary, defeating challenger John Fraser, while Bethany Mann emerged as the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and has long favored Republican candidates in federal races, consistent with Missouri's broader electoral patterns. Forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the incumbent's established position and limited Democratic infrastructure in the area. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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