The NY-21 race features an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election, with Republican nominee Anthony Constantino facing Democrat Blake Gendebien in the November 3 general election. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the June 23 primaries. The district’s R+10 partisan voter index and rural character have historically favored Republican candidates, contributing to the current 73% consensus for the Republican Party. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid or Lean Republican, while recent prediction-market pricing aligns closely with this assessment. Limited post-primary polling and the absence of major campaign developments or national shifts in the past month have kept probabilities stable, with trader consensus reflecting the structural Republican advantage in this upstate New York district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-21
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-21
$56,867 Vol.
$56,867 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
73%
Partito Democratico
25%
$56,867 Vol.
$56,867 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$27,396 Vol.
73%
Partito Democratico
$29,471 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 race features an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election, with Republican nominee Anthony Constantino facing Democrat Blake Gendebien in the November 3 general election. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the June 23 primaries. The district’s R+10 partisan voter index and rural character have historically favored Republican candidates, contributing to the current 73% consensus for the Republican Party. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid or Lean Republican, while recent prediction-market pricing aligns closely with this assessment. Limited post-primary polling and the absence of major campaign developments or national shifts in the past month have kept probabilities stable, with trader consensus reflecting the structural Republican advantage in this upstate New York district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$56,867Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-21 race features an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election, with Republican nominee Anthony Constantino facing Democrat Blake Gendebien in the November 3 general election. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the June 23 primaries. The district’s R+10 partisan voter index and rural character have historically favored Republican candidates, contributing to the current 73% consensus for the Republican Party. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid or Lean Republican, while recent prediction-market pricing aligns closely with this assessment. Limited post-primary polling and the absence of major campaign developments or national shifts in the past month have kept probabilities stable, with trader consensus reflecting the structural Republican advantage in this upstate New York district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$56,867Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-21 race features an open seat following Elise Stefanik’s decision not to seek re-election, with Republican nominee Anthony Constantino facing Democrat Blake Gendebien in the November 3 general election. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the June 23 primaries. The district’s R+10 partisan voter index and rural character have historically favored Republican candidates, contributing to the current 73% consensus for the Republican Party. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid or Lean Republican, while recent prediction-market pricing aligns closely with this assessment. Limited post-primary polling and the absence of major campaign developments or national shifts in the past month have kept probabilities stable, with trader consensus reflecting the structural Republican advantage in this upstate New York district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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