Ohio's 10th congressional district features incumbent Republican Mike Turner seeking reelection against Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles but shows signs of competitiveness ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent August polls indicate Turner holding leads of roughly 8-11 points among likely voters, narrower than his prior double-digit margins, reflecting national headwinds for the president's party and Democratic efforts to boost turnout in the Dayton area. Trader pricing across margin buckets and candidate outcomes near even levels signals uncertainty over whether the race settles into a low-single-digit or mid-teen Republican victory, with redistricting effects and local economic issues also in play. A strong national Democratic wave, higher-than-expected turnout among suburban voters, or late campaign developments could compress the margin further, while sustained Republican base mobilization or favorable economic signals might widen it.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-10 Margine di vittoria per le elezioni della Camera
OH-10 Margine di vittoria per le elezioni della Camera
Repubblicano 21%+ 37%
Repubblicano 18-21% 37%
Repubblicano 15-18% 37%
Repubblicano 12-15% 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano 21%+
37%
Repubblicano 18-21%
37%
Repubblicano 15-18%
37%
Repubblicano 12-15%
37%
Repubblicano 9-12%
37%
Repubblicano 6-9%
37%
Repubblicano 3-6%
37%
Repubblicano 0-3%
37%
Democratico 0-3%
37%
Democratico 3%+
37%
Repubblicano 21%+ 37%
Repubblicano 18-21% 37%
Repubblicano 15-18% 37%
Repubblicano 12-15% 37%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Repubblicano 21%+
$0 Vol.
37%
Repubblicano 18-21%
$0 Vol.
37%
Repubblicano 15-18%
$0 Vol.
37%
Repubblicano 12-15%
$0 Vol.
37%
Repubblicano 9-12%
$0 Vol.
37%
Repubblicano 6-9%
$0 Vol.
37%
Repubblicano 3-6%
$0 Vol.
37%
Repubblicano 0-3%
$0 Vol.
37%
Democratico 0-3%
$0 Vol.
37%
Democratico 3%+
$0 Vol.
37%
The 2026 OH-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohio's 10th congressional district features incumbent Republican Mike Turner seeking reelection against Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles but shows signs of competitiveness ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent August polls indicate Turner holding leads of roughly 8-11 points among likely voters, narrower than his prior double-digit margins, reflecting national headwinds for the president's party and Democratic efforts to boost turnout in the Dayton area. Trader pricing across margin buckets and candidate outcomes near even levels signals uncertainty over whether the race settles into a low-single-digit or mid-teen Republican victory, with redistricting effects and local economic issues also in play. A strong national Democratic wave, higher-than-expected turnout among suburban voters, or late campaign developments could compress the margin further, while sustained Republican base mobilization or favorable economic signals might widen it.
The 2026 OH-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 OH-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ohio's 10th congressional district features incumbent Republican Mike Turner seeking reelection against Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles but shows signs of competitiveness ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent August polls indicate Turner holding leads of roughly 8-11 points among likely voters, narrower than his prior double-digit margins, reflecting national headwinds for the president's party and Democratic efforts to boost turnout in the Dayton area. Trader pricing across margin buckets and candidate outcomes near even levels signals uncertainty over whether the race settles into a low-single-digit or mid-teen Republican victory, with redistricting effects and local economic issues also in play. A strong national Democratic wave, higher-than-expected turnout among suburban voters, or late campaign developments could compress the margin further, while sustained Republican base mobilization or favorable economic signals might widen it.
The 2026 OH-10 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 OH-10 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ohio's 10th congressional district features incumbent Republican Mike Turner seeking reelection against Democrat Kristina Knickerbocker in a seat that has favored Republicans in recent cycles but shows signs of competitiveness ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent August polls indicate Turner holding leads of roughly 8-11 points among likely voters, narrower than his prior double-digit margins, reflecting national headwinds for the president's party and Democratic efforts to boost turnout in the Dayton area. Trader pricing across margin buckets and candidate outcomes near even levels signals uncertainty over whether the race settles into a low-single-digit or mid-teen Republican victory, with redistricting effects and local economic issues also in play. A strong national Democratic wave, higher-than-expected turnout among suburban voters, or late campaign developments could compress the margin further, while sustained Republican base mobilization or favorable economic signals might widen it.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Il candidato del Partito Repubblicano vincerà le elezioni per la Camera dell'OH-07 del 2026 con un margine del 12% o più?
37%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Repubblicano vincerà le elezioni della Camera dell'OH-06 del 2026 con un margine del 40% o più?
37%
Sì
Il candidato del Partito Democratico vincerà le elezioni per la Camera dell'OH-11 del 2026 con il 75% o più?
37%
Sì
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