Trump remains firmly positioned to serve through the end of 2026, with Republican majorities in Congress blocking recent impeachment resolutions, including the September 2026 House vote tabling articles over immigration enforcement actions. Multiple prior attempts by Democratic lawmakers have failed to advance, reflecting insufficient bipartisan support for removal proceedings. Official medical updates continue to affirm the president's capacity despite public discussion of age-related concerns, and no Cabinet-level moves have emerged to invoke succession protocols. Upcoming November midterms could shift House control, yet historical patterns and current Senate dynamics limit prospects for successful removal or resignation before 2027. Trader pricing reflects these institutional and procedural barriers to an early exit.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
6% probabilità
$11,772,468 Vol.
$11,772,468 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
6% probabilità
$11,772,468 Vol.
$11,772,468 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly positioned to serve through the end of 2026, with Republican majorities in Congress blocking recent impeachment resolutions, including the September 2026 House vote tabling articles over immigration enforcement actions. Multiple prior attempts by Democratic lawmakers have failed to advance, reflecting insufficient bipartisan support for removal proceedings. Official medical updates continue to affirm the president's capacity despite public discussion of age-related concerns, and no Cabinet-level moves have emerged to invoke succession protocols. Upcoming November midterms could shift House control, yet historical patterns and current Senate dynamics limit prospects for successful removal or resignation before 2027. Trader pricing reflects these institutional and procedural barriers to an early exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
Volume
$11,772,468Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump remains firmly positioned to serve through the end of 2026, with Republican majorities in Congress blocking recent impeachment resolutions, including the September 2026 House vote tabling articles over immigration enforcement actions. Multiple prior attempts by Democratic lawmakers have failed to advance, reflecting insufficient bipartisan support for removal proceedings. Official medical updates continue to affirm the president's capacity despite public discussion of age-related concerns, and no Cabinet-level moves have emerged to invoke succession protocols. Upcoming November midterms could shift House control, yet historical patterns and current Senate dynamics limit prospects for successful removal or resignation before 2027. Trader pricing reflects these institutional and procedural barriers to an early exit.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,772,468Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Trump remains firmly positioned to serve through the end of 2026, with Republican majorities in Congress blocking recent impeachment resolutions, including the September 2026 House vote tabling articles over immigration enforcement actions. Multiple prior attempts by Democratic lawmakers have failed to advance, reflecting insufficient bipartisan support for removal proceedings. Official medical updates continue to affirm the president's capacity despite public discussion of age-related concerns, and no Cabinet-level moves have emerged to invoke succession protocols. Upcoming November midterms could shift House control, yet historical patterns and current Senate dynamics limit prospects for successful removal or resignation before 2027. Trader pricing reflects these institutional and procedural barriers to an early exit.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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